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Summary of When Is the Consistent Prediction Likely to Be a Correct Prediction?, by Alex Nguyen et al.


When is the consistent prediction likely to be a correct prediction?

by Alex Nguyen, Dheeraj Mekala, Chengyu Dong, Jingbo Shang

First submitted to arxiv on: 8 Jul 2024

Categories

  • Main: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed paper challenges the idea that self-consistency in large language models (LLMs) leads to more accurate predictions. Instead, the authors suggest that consistent answers derived from longer reasoning texts are more likely to be correct. This is because LLMs can autonomously generate chain-of-thought style reasoning without custom prompts when producing longer responses. The paper demonstrates this by achieving 86% of its self-consistency performance on the GSM8K and MultiArith datasets using a zero-shot CoT prompting approach. Additionally, it highlights the need for decoding strategies conditioned on output length to encourage LLMs to generate longer responses.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Large language models (LLMs) are getting better at answering questions, but how do we know if they’re right? Some people think that if an LLM gives the same answer over and over, it must be correct. But what if I told you that’s not necessarily true? In fact, the most accurate answers often come from LLMs that take a little more time to think things through. This paper shows that by letting LLMs generate longer responses, they can make better predictions without needing special prompts. It even works when the LLM hasn’t seen the problem before! The authors also point out that LLMs don’t usually give long answers, so we need to find ways to encourage them to do so.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Prompting  » Zero shot