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Summary of Timexer: Empowering Transformers For Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variables, by Yuxuan Wang et al.


TimeXer: Empowering Transformers for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variables

by Yuxuan Wang, Haixu Wu, Jiaxiang Dong, Guo Qin, Haoran Zhang, Yong Liu, Yunzhong Qiu, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng Long

First submitted to arxiv on: 29 Feb 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed TimeXer model enhances time series forecasting by incorporating exogenous variables, which provide valuable external information for endogenous variables. Unlike traditional multivariate and univariate approaches that treat all variables equally or ignore exogenous information, TimeXer reconciles endogenous and exogenous data through patch-wise self-attention and variate-wise cross-attention. This approach learns global endogenous tokens to bridge causal relationships between exogenous and endogenous series. Experimental results demonstrate state-of-the-art performance on twelve real-world benchmarks, showcasing the model’s generality and scalability.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
TimeXer is a new way to improve time series forecasting by using information from external variables. This helps make predictions more accurate because it takes into account things that happen outside of what you’re trying to predict. The approach uses special techniques to combine this external information with the information from what you’re trying to predict, making it better at guessing what will happen next.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Cross attention  * Self attention  * Time series