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Summary of Time-moe: Billion-scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture Of Experts, by Xiaoming Shi et al.


Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Experts

by Xiaoming Shi, Shiyu Wang, Yuqi Nie, Dianqi Li, Zhou Ye, Qingsong Wen, Ming Jin

First submitted to arxiv on: 24 Sep 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The paper introduces Time-MoE, a scalable and unified architecture designed to pre-train larger, more capable forecasting foundation models while reducing inference costs. By leveraging a sparse mixture-of-experts (MoE) design, Time-MoE enhances computational efficiency by activating only a subset of networks for each prediction, reducing computational load while maintaining high model capacity. This allows Time-MoE to scale effectively without a corresponding increase in inference costs. The model is composed of decoder-only transformer models that operate in an auto-regressive manner and support flexible forecasting horizons with varying input context lengths. The authors pre-trained these models on their newly introduced large-scale data Time-300B, which spans over 9 domains and encompasses over 300 billion time points. For the first time, they scaled a time series foundation model up to 2.4 billion parameters, achieving significantly improved forecasting precision.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper introduces a new architecture called Time-MoE that helps with time series forecasting. It’s like a super smart calculator that can predict what will happen in the future. The authors made it so it uses less energy and is faster than other models, which makes it really useful for real-world applications. They tested it on a huge dataset and showed that it works much better than other models.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Decoder  * Inference  * Mixture of experts  * Precision  * Time series  * Transformer