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Summary of The Impact Of Data Set Similarity and Diversity on Transfer Learning Success in Time Series Forecasting, by Claudia Ehrig et al.


The impact of data set similarity and diversity on transfer learning success in time series forecasting

by Claudia Ehrig, Benedikt Sonnleitner, Ursula Neumann, Catherine Cleophas, Germain Forestier

First submitted to arxiv on: 9 Apr 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
In this research paper, the authors investigate how pre-trained models can be used for time series forecasting on target data sets. They focus on understanding which characteristics of the source and target data are most important for successful transfer learning. The study uses five public source datasets to predict five different target datasets, including real-world wholesale data. The results show that source-target similarity reduces bias in forecasting, while source diversity improves accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper explores how pre-trained models can be used for time series forecasting on target data sets by understanding the importance of source and target data characteristics. They use five public source datasets to predict five different target datasets, including real-world wholesale data. The results show that source-target similarity reduces bias in forecasting, while source diversity improves accuracy and uncertainty estimation.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Time series  * Transfer learning