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Summary of The Effects Of Data Imbalance Under a Federated Learning Approach For Credit Risk Forecasting, by Shuyao Zhang et al.


The Effects of Data Imbalance Under a Federated Learning Approach for Credit Risk Forecasting

by Shuyao Zhang, Jordan Tay, Pedro Baiz

First submitted to arxiv on: 14 Jan 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
In this study, researchers explored the application of Federated Learning (FL) in credit risk forecasting, a crucial task for commercial banks. FL allows for global model training without accessing sensitive client information directly, mitigating security and privacy risks. The team investigated the effects of data imbalance on model performance using three datasets and various scenarios involving different numbers of clients and data distribution configurations. They compared the performance of neural network architectures (MLP and LSTM) and a tree ensemble architecture (XGBoost). Results show that federated models consistently outperform local models for non-dominant clients with smaller datasets, yielding an average improvement of 17.92% in model performance. However, for dominant clients, federated models may not exhibit superior performance, suggesting the need for incentives to encourage participation.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Credit risk forecasting is important for banks and financial institutions. Traditional machine learning methods can be risky because they require sharing sensitive client information. Federated Learning (FL) is a new technique that allows global model training without accessing private data directly. Researchers tested FL in credit risk assessment and found out how it works with different types of data and models. They used three datasets and different scenarios to see how well the models performed. The results show that FL can help banks make better decisions about lending.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Federated learning  * Lstm  * Machine learning  * Neural network  * Xgboost