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Summary of Rethinking Log Odds: Linear Probability Modelling and Expert Advice in Interpretable Machine Learning, by Danial Dervovic and Nicolas Marchesotti and Freddy Lecue and Daniele Magazzeni


Rethinking Log Odds: Linear Probability Modelling and Expert Advice in Interpretable Machine Learning

by Danial Dervovic, Nicolas Marchesotti, Freddy Lecue, Daniele Magazzeni

First submitted to arxiv on: 11 Nov 2022

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed family of interpretable machine learning models introduces two novel additions: Linearised Additive Models (LAMs) and SubscaleHedge, an expert advice algorithm for combining base models trained on subsets of features. LAMs replace the traditional logistic link function in General Additive Models (GAMs), enabling direct global and local attributions of additive components to the model output in probability space. This paper demonstrates that LAMs and SubscaleHedge improve the interpretability of their base algorithms without sacrificing performance, as shown through rigorous null-hypothesis significance testing on financial modelling data.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This research introduces two new machine learning models: Linearised Additive Models (LAMs) and SubscaleHedge. These models help us understand how they work and why the predictions are made. The goal is to make AI more transparent and reliable. The scientists tested their models on financial data and found that they performed well without sacrificing accuracy.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Machine learning  * Probability