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Summary of Probabilistic Weather Forecasting with Hierarchical Graph Neural Networks, by Joel Oskarsson et al.


Probabilistic Weather Forecasting with Hierarchical Graph Neural Networks

by Joel Oskarsson, Tomas Landelius, Marc Peter Deisenroth, Fredrik Lindsten

First submitted to arxiv on: 7 Jun 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Machine Learning (stat.ML)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
A probabilistic machine learning approach called Graph-EFM is proposed for high-resolution weather forecasting, focusing on capturing the uncertainty in chaotic weather systems. The model combines a flexible latent-variable formulation with a graph-based framework, enabling efficient sampling of spatially coherent forecasts and fast generation of arbitrarily large ensembles.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Graph-EFM is a machine learning model that helps improve weather forecasting by providing accurate predictions along with an estimate of how likely each prediction is to happen. This is important because weather systems are complex and unpredictable, making it hard to know exactly what the weather will be like in the future. The model uses a hierarchical graph construction to make these predictions efficiently.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Machine learning