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Summary of Powermamba: a Deep State Space Model and Comprehensive Benchmark For Time Series Prediction in Electric Power Systems, by Ali Menati et al.


PowerMamba: A Deep State Space Model and Comprehensive Benchmark for Time Series Prediction in Electric Power Systems

by Ali Menati, Fatemeh Doudi, Dileep Kalathil, Le Xie

First submitted to arxiv on: 9 Dec 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Systems and Control (eess.SY)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
A novel multivariate time series prediction model is introduced in this paper, combining traditional state space models with deep learning methods to predict the underlying dynamics of multiple time series. The proposed approach incorporates high-resolution external forecasts into sequence-to-sequence prediction models, achieving negligible increases in size while maintaining accuracy. A comprehensive dataset spanning five years of load, electricity price, ancillary service price, and renewable generation is released alongside an open-access toolbox including the proposed model and several state-of-the-art prediction models for benchmarking advanced machine learning approaches. The findings demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms existing models across various prediction tasks, improving state-of-the-art prediction error by an average of 7% while decreasing model parameters by 43%.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The electricity grid is becoming more unpredictable due to changes in demand and renewable energy integration. To manage this volatility, advanced time series prediction models are needed. This paper presents a new approach that combines traditional methods with deep learning techniques to predict multiple time series. The method includes external forecasts and achieves accuracy without increasing size. A dataset of five years of load, price, and generation data is released along with an open-source toolbox for comparing different prediction models.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Deep learning  » Machine learning  » Time series