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Summary of Partial-multivariate Model For Forecasting, by Jaehoon Lee et al.


Partial-Multivariate Model for Forecasting

by Jaehoon Lee, Hankook Lee, Sungik Choi, Sungjun Cho, Moontae Lee

First submitted to arxiv on: 19 Aug 2024

Categories

  • Main: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
  • Secondary: None

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed paper introduces Partial-Multivariate (PM) models that leverage inter-feature information while avoiding the complexity of complete-multivariate approaches. The authors develop a Transformer-based PM model called PMformer, which captures partial relationships within subsets of all features. Experimental results show that PMformer outperforms univariate and complete-multivariate models on forecasting tasks, with a theoretical rationale and empirical analysis supporting its superiority. Additionally, an inference technique is proposed to further enhance forecasting accuracy.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This paper solves a problem in time-series forecasting by introducing a new type of model called Partial-Multivariate (PM) models. The PM models are between two other types: univariate and complete-multivariate. Univariate models ignore information from multiple features, while complete-multivariate models try to use all the information. But sometimes, this second approach doesn’t work as well. The researchers created a new model called PMformer that is like a middle ground. They tested it and found that it does better than the other two types of models. This new model also has some nice features: it’s efficient and can still be used even if some of the information is missing.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Inference  » Time series  » Transformer