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Summary of Parsimony or Capability? Decomposition Delivers Both in Long-term Time Series Forecasting, by Jinliang Deng et al.


Parsimony or Capability? Decomposition Delivers Both in Long-term Time Series Forecasting

by Jinliang Deng, Feiyang Ye, Du Yin, Xuan Song, Ivor W. Tsang, Hui Xiong

First submitted to arxiv on: 22 Jan 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

     Abstract of paper      PDF of paper


GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed model achieves superior and robust results across various datasets by containing excessive model inflation through decomposition. This method tailors decomposition to the intrinsic dynamics of time series data, outperforming existing benchmarks while using fewer parameters. The study highlights that in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), bigger is not always better, and that a restricted set of parameters can be more effective when capitalizing on domain characteristics.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Our study shows that you don’t need to make your model super complicated to get good results. We found that by breaking down the data into smaller pieces and understanding how it changes over time, we can make really accurate predictions using much fewer “building blocks” than usual. This is important because if models are too complex, they can be hard to understand and use. Our method works well across different types of data and performs better than other methods while using many fewer parameters.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Time series