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Summary of Operational Wind Speed Forecasts For Chile’s Electric Power Sector Using a Hybrid Ml Model, by Dhruv Suri et al.


Operational Wind Speed Forecasts for Chile’s Electric Power Sector Using a Hybrid ML Model

by Dhruv Suri, Praneet Dutta, Flora Xue, Ines Azevedo, Ravi Jain

First submitted to arxiv on: 14 Sep 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Systems and Control (eess.SY)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The abstract proposes a novel hybrid machine learning (ML) approach to improve forecasting accuracy for renewable energy generation. Specifically, it introduces a method that combines two custom ML models, TiDE and GraphCast, to predict wind speed up to 10 days in advance. This approach outperforms traditional operational deterministic systems by 4-21% for short-term forecasts and 5-23% for medium-term forecasts. The proposed methodology has the potential to directly reduce the impact of wind generation on thermal ramping, curtailment, and system-level emissions in Chile.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper aims to improve renewable energy forecasting in Chile by developing a hybrid machine learning approach that combines two custom models: TiDE and GraphCast. These models are specifically designed for short-term and medium-term forecasts. The results show that the proposed methodology outperforms traditional methods, which can help reduce the impact of wind generation on thermal power plants.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Machine learning