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Summary of On Temperature Scaling and Conformal Prediction Of Deep Classifiers, by Lahav Dabah et al.


On Temperature Scaling and Conformal Prediction of Deep Classifiers

by Lahav Dabah, Tom Tirer

First submitted to arxiv on: 8 Feb 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Machine Learning (stat.ML)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper investigates the interplay between classification confidence indicators in deep neural networks (DNNs). Specifically, it explores the relationship between Temperature Scaling (TS) calibration and Conformal Prediction (CP) methods. The authors demonstrate that TS calibration improves class-conditional coverage of adaptive CP methods but negatively affects prediction set sizes. They then develop a mathematical theory to explain this non-monotonic trend and provide guidelines for practitioners to effectively combine adaptive CP with calibration. The paper’s findings have implications for designing accurate and reliable classification systems in various applications.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This paper looks at how well computers can predict things. It tries to figure out how different ways of telling a computer how confident it should be affect its ability to make good predictions. The researchers found that making the computer more confident actually makes it worse at predicting which option is most likely. They also developed some math to explain why this happens and gave advice on how to use this information to make better computer programs.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Classification  * Temperature