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Summary of Lucie: a Lightweight Uncoupled Climate Emulator with Long-term Stability and Physical Consistency For O(1000)-member Ensembles, by Haiwen Guan et al.


LUCIE: A Lightweight Uncoupled ClImate Emulator with long-term stability and physical consistency for O(1000)-member ensembles

by Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik

First submitted to arxiv on: 25 May 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph); Computational Physics (physics.comp-ph)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper introduces LUCIE, a lightweight and easy-to-train climate emulator that can be trained using as little as 2 years’ worth of ERA5 data. Unlike other state-of-the-art AI models, LUCIE remains physically consistent for 100 years of autoregressive simulation with 100 ensemble members. The model is able to accurately predict long-term mean climatology and variability in temperature, wind, precipitation, and humidity. Additionally, the paper discusses an improved training strategy that enables data-limited training without losing stability and physical consistency. The authors also provide a scaling experiment to compare the long-term bias of LUCIE with respect to the number of training samples.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
LUCIE is a new way to predict the weather and climate using artificial intelligence. It’s special because it can learn from just 2 years’ worth of data and still be able to make accurate predictions for the next 100 years. This is important because we want to understand how our planet will change in the future due to things like climate change. The model is also easy to use, taking just 2.4 hours to train on a single computer chip. This makes it possible to run many different experiments and answer important scientific questions.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Autoregressive  » Temperature