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Summary of Location Based Probabilistic Load Forecasting Of Ev Charging Sites: Deep Transfer Learning with Multi-quantile Temporal Convolutional Network, by Mohammad Wazed Ali (intelligent Embedded Systems (ies) et al.


Location based Probabilistic Load Forecasting of EV Charging Sites: Deep Transfer Learning with Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network

by Mohammad Wazed Ali, Asif bin Mustafa, Md. Aukerul Moin Shuvo, Bernhard Sick

First submitted to arxiv on: 18 Sep 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper proposes a deep learning-based model to forecast the charging demand of electric vehicles (EVs) at various locations, taking into account diverse user profiles and energy demand patterns. The Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network (MQ-TCN) model is designed to overcome limitations of previous data-driven load models by being simultaneously adaptive, cost-effective, and able to transfer knowledge among different EV charging sites. The authors conducted experiments on data from four charging sites, achieving a remarkable 28.93% improvement over the XGBoost model for day-ahead load forecasting at one site, with a prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) score of 93.62%. By applying transfer learning, the MQ-TCN model achieved a PICP score of 96.88% for another site using only two weeks of data.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper explores ways to reduce fossil fuel usage and environmental pollution by developing a better understanding of electric vehicle charging demand patterns. The authors use a deep learning-based model called Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network (MQ-TCN) to forecast EV charging demands at different locations. They find that this approach can improve predictions compared to previous methods, even when using limited data.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Convolutional network  » Deep learning  » Probability  » Transfer learning  » Xgboost