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Summary of Frequency Adaptive Normalization For Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting, by Weiwei Ye et al.


Frequency Adaptive Normalization For Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting

by Weiwei Ye, Songgaojun Deng, Qiaosha Zou, Ning Gui

First submitted to arxiv on: 30 Sep 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed frequency adaptive normalization (FAN) method addresses non-stationarity in time series forecasting by extending instance normalization to handle both dynamic trends and seasonal patterns. The approach employs Fourier transform to identify predominant frequency components, which are then modeled as a prediction task with a simple MLP model. FAN is applied to arbitrary predictive backbones, demonstrating significant performance advancements on eight benchmark datasets, with average improvements ranging from 7.76% to 37.90% in MSE.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Time series forecasting is important for predicting what will happen next based on past data. However, this type of data can be tricky because it often changes over time or has patterns that repeat at different times. To make better predictions, a new method called frequency adaptive normalization (FAN) was developed to handle both changing trends and seasonal patterns. This method uses special math to identify the most important repeating patterns in the data, then tries to predict how these patterns will change in the future. The FAN method is designed to work with different types of prediction models and can make predictions more accurate.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Mse  » Time series