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Summary of Flexible Heteroscedastic Count Regression with Deep Double Poisson Networks, by Spencer Young et al.


Flexible Heteroscedastic Count Regression with Deep Double Poisson Networks

by Spencer Young, Porter Jenkins, Lonchao Da, Jeff Dotson, Hua Wei

First submitted to arxiv on: 13 Jun 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

     Abstract of paper      PDF of paper


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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed Deep Double Poisson Network (DDPN) aims to address the limitations of existing discrete models for real-world applications that require accurate, input-conditional uncertainty representations. Recent advances in heteroscedastic continuous regression have shown promise for calibrated uncertainty quantification on complex tasks like image regression, but these methods tend to produce pathologies when applied to discrete regression tasks such as crowd counting or ratings prediction. To address this, DDPN is designed to produce discrete predictive distributions of arbitrary flexibility, outperforming existing discrete models and meeting or exceeding the accuracy and flexibility of networks trained with Gaussian negative log likelihood. The proposed technique also enables tuning of mean fit and probabilistic calibration during training.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper proposes a new model called Deep Double Poisson Network (DDPN) that can be used for real-world applications like crowd counting, ratings prediction, or inventory estimation. This model is better than existing models because it can produce more accurate and flexible predictions. The authors also show how to train the model to get the best results.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Log likelihood  * Regression