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Summary of Efficient Training Of Probabilistic Neural Networks For Survival Analysis, by Christian Marius Lillelund et al.


Efficient Training of Probabilistic Neural Networks for Survival Analysis

by Christian Marius Lillelund, Martin Magris, Christian Fischer Pedersen

First submitted to arxiv on: 9 Apr 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
In this paper, researchers investigate novel methods for training probabilistic neural networks that can accurately predict patient survival times while efficiently handling large datasets. The study compares Variational Inference (VI) with alternative techniques like Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD) and Spectral-normalized Neural Gaussian Process (SNGP). Results show that MCD achieves comparable performance to VI in terms of concordance index and mean absolute error, but provides better calibrated uncertainty estimates. SNGP also outperforms VI in providing D-calibrated survival functions. The findings suggest that non-VI techniques can be viable alternatives for survival analysis in high-dimensional datasets.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This paper explores new ways to train deep learning models that predict patient survival times accurately and efficiently handle large amounts of data. Researchers compared different methods, including Variational Inference (VI), Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD), and Spectral-normalized Neural Gaussian Process (SNGP). They found that MCD performed similarly to VI in predicting survival times, but provided better uncertainty estimates. SNGP also outperformed VI in providing accurate survival predictions. This study shows that there are alternative methods to VI for predicting patient survival times.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Deep learning  * Dropout  * Inference