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Summary of Disents: Disentangled Channel Evolving Pattern Modeling For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting, by Zhiding Liu et al.


DisenTS: Disentangled Channel Evolving Pattern Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

by Zhiding Liu, Jiqian Yang, Qingyang Mao, Yuze Zhao, Mingyue Cheng, Zhi Li, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen

First submitted to arxiv on: 30 Oct 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed DisenTS framework addresses the limitations of mainstream multivariate time series forecasting methods by modeling disentangled channel evolving patterns. The framework employs multiple distinct forecasting models, each tasked with uncovering a unique evolving pattern. A novel Forecaster Aware Gate (FAG) module is introduced to generate routing signals adaptively according to both forecasters’ states and input series characteristics. Additionally, the Similarity Constraint (SC) is proposed to guide each model to specialize in an underlying pattern by minimizing mutual information between representations.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
DisenTS helps predict future events in many real-world situations. Currently, most methods use one single model that tries to understand all the different channels (like temperatures or stock prices) together. But sometimes, these channels can have very different patterns and trends. DisenTS is a new way of modeling this data by using multiple smaller models, each trying to understand its own unique pattern. It also has special gates that help figure out which model should be used for a particular forecast.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Time series