Summary of Conditional Bayesian Quadrature, by Zonghao Chen et al.
Conditional Bayesian Quadrature
by Zonghao Chen, Masha Naslidnyk, Arthur Gretton, François-Xavier Briol
First submitted to arxiv on: 24 Jun 2024
Categories
- Main: Machine Learning (stat.ML)
- Secondary: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computation (stat.CO)
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Summary difficulty | Written by | Summary |
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High | Paper authors | High Difficulty Summary Read the original abstract here |
Medium | GrooveSquid.com (original content) | Medium Difficulty Summary This paper presents a novel approach for estimating conditional or parametric expectations in scenarios where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. By leveraging probabilistic numerical methods, such as Bayesian quadrature, the authors develop an innovative framework that incorporates prior information about the integrands, including smoothness knowledge and conditional expectations. This approach enables quantifying uncertainty and achieves a fast convergence rate, which is validated both theoretically and empirically on challenging tasks in Bayesian sensitivity analysis, computational finance, and decision making under uncertainty. |
Low | GrooveSquid.com (original content) | Low Difficulty Summary This paper helps us figure out how to estimate things when it’s hard or expensive to get the information we need. The authors use a new way of doing math called probabilistic numerical methods that takes into account what we already know about the problem. This makes our answers more accurate and helps us understand how certain we are. It works really well on tricky problems in finance, decision making, and understanding how things might change. |