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Summary of Accurately Predicting Probabilities Of Safety-critical Rare Events For Intelligent Systems, by Ruoxuan Bai et al.


Accurately Predicting Probabilities of Safety-Critical Rare Events for Intelligent Systems

by Ruoxuan Bai, Jingxuan Yang, Weiduo Gong, Yi Zhang, Qiujing Lu, Shuo Feng

First submitted to arxiv on: 20 Mar 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
A novel multi-stage learning framework is proposed to predict the probability of safety-critical events occurring within autonomous systems. This framework aims to address the curse of rarity, which arises from rare events in high-dimensional variables. The approach consists of progressive densification stages, designed to mitigate this challenge. Evaluations are conducted on lunar lander and bipedal walker scenarios, demonstrating improved accuracy and reliability over traditional methods.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Intelligent systems are becoming a part of our daily lives, but they also pose safety risks. To make them safer, we need to predict when something bad might happen. This is called “criticality” prediction. It’s hard because most events don’t happen, so we have to figure out which ones will. Current methods aren’t good enough because they’re either too cautious or miss important events. We want to create a better way to predict criticality and make autonomous systems safer.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Probability