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Summary of Domain Adaptation For Industrial Time-series Forecasting Via Counterfactual Inference, by Chao Min et al.


Domain Adaptation for Industrial Time-series Forecasting via Counterfactual Inference

by Chao Min, Guoquan Wen, Jiangru Yuan, Jun Yi, Xing Guo

First submitted to arxiv on: 19 Jul 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Information Theory (cs.IT)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
In this paper, researchers propose a novel framework for improving time-series forecasting in industrial settings. The proposed Causal Domain Adaptation (CDA) forecaster tackles challenges such as data shortages and unknown treatment policies by analyzing causality along with treatments and modeling treatments and outcomes jointly. The framework leverages shared causality across domains to predict counterfactual outcomes, enabling guidance in production processes.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Industrial time-series forecasting is crucial for effective monitoring of production processes. However, current methods struggle with limited data and unknown treatment policies. To address this, the authors develop a CDA forecaster that analyzes causality along treatments and models treatments and outcomes jointly. The framework uses an attention mechanism to leverage shared causality across domains and predict counterfactual outcomes.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Attention  * Domain adaptation  * Time series