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Summary of Evidential Uncertainty Sets in Deep Classifiers Using Conformal Prediction, by Hamed Karimi and Reza Samavi


Evidential Uncertainty Sets in Deep Classifiers Using Conformal Prediction

by Hamed Karimi, Reza Samavi

First submitted to arxiv on: 16 Jun 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed Evidential Conformal Prediction (ECP) method generates conformal prediction sets for image classifiers by leveraging a non-conformity score function rooted in Evidential Deep Learning (EDL). This approach quantifies model uncertainty in DNN classifiers using evidence derived from logit values of target labels. The non-conformity score is comprised of three components: heuristic notion of uncertainty, uncertainty surprisal, and expected utility. Experimental results show that ECP outperforms three state-of-the-art methods for generating CP sets in terms of set sizes, adaptivity, and coverage of true labels.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Evidential Conformal Prediction is a new way to predict how confident an image classifier is about its answers. This helps make sure the predictions are correct and reliable. The method uses special math to figure out how uncertain the model is based on what it knows. It also compares this uncertainty to what’s actually happening in the images. In tests, this approach did better than other ways of doing conformal prediction.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Deep learning