Summary of Advancing Real-time Pandemic Forecasting Using Large Language Models: a Covid-19 Case Study, by Hongru Du et al.
Advancing Real-time Pandemic Forecasting Using Large Language Models: A COVID-19 Case Study
by Hongru Du, Jianan Zhao, Yang Zhao, Shaochong Xu, Xihong Lin, Yiran Chen, Lauren M. Gardner, Hao Frank Yang
First submitted to arxiv on: 10 Apr 2024
Categories
- Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
 - Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
 
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| Summary difficulty | Written by | Summary | 
|---|---|---|
| High | Paper authors | High Difficulty Summary Read the original abstract here  | 
| Medium | GrooveSquid.com (original content) | Medium Difficulty Summary This novel framework, PandemicLLM, leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to reformulate real-time disease spread forecasting as a text reasoning problem. By incorporating multi-modal data, including textual public health policies, genomic surveillance, spatial, and epidemiological time series data, PandemicLLM outperforms existing models in capturing the impact of emerging variants. The framework is applied to COVID-19 pandemic forecasting across all 50 US states, providing timely and accurate predictions. This study showcases the potential of adapting LLMs and representation learning to enhance pandemic forecasting, illustrating how AI innovations can strengthen pandemic responses.  | 
| Low | GrooveSquid.com (original content) | Low Difficulty Summary PandemicLLM uses special computers called Large Language Models to help predict where diseases will spread quickly. It looks at lots of different types of information like what people are saying online, how the virus is changing, and where it’s spreading fastest. This helps make better predictions than other methods. The researchers tested PandemicLLM on COVID-19 data from all 50 US states and found that it was really good at predicting when and where the virus would spread.  | 
Keywords
* Artificial intelligence * Multi modal * Representation learning * Time series




