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Summary of Signature Kernel Conditional Independence Tests in Causal Discovery For Stochastic Processes, by Georg Manten et al.


Signature Kernel Conditional Independence Tests in Causal Discovery for Stochastic Processes

by Georg Manten, Cecilia Casolo, Emilio Ferrucci, Søren Wengel Mogensen, Cristopher Salvi, Niki Kilbertus

First submitted to arxiv on: 28 Feb 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed paper introduces a novel approach for inferring the underlying causal structure of stochastic dynamical systems from observational data. The researchers develop conditional independence constraints on coordinate processes over selected intervals that are Markov with respect to the acyclic dependence graph induced by a general SDE model. A sound and complete causal discovery algorithm is then presented, capable of handling both fully and partially observed data. The algorithm uniquely recovers the underlying or induced ancestral graph by exploiting time directionality assuming a CI oracle. To make the approach practically usable, a flexible, consistent signature kernel-based CI test is proposed to infer these constraints from data.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper’s main idea is to find the causal relationships between variables in complex systems that can be described using stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The researchers develop a new way of analyzing these systems by looking at how different variables affect each other over time. They also create an algorithm that can recover the underlying structure of these systems from data, even if some information is missing. This approach has the potential to be used in many fields, such as science, health, and finance.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence