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Summary of Robusttsf: Towards Theory and Design Of Robust Time Series Forecasting with Anomalies, by Hao Cheng et al.


RobustTSF: Towards Theory and Design of Robust Time Series Forecasting with Anomalies

by Hao Cheng, Qingsong Wen, Yang Liu, Liang Sun

First submitted to arxiv on: 3 Feb 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
In this paper, researchers tackle the challenge of time series forecasting in the presence of anomalies. They demonstrate that existing methods assume clean data and are thus inferior when dealing with contaminated datasets. The authors define three types of anomalies statistically, analyze their impact on loss robustness and sample robustness, and propose a simple algorithm to learn a robust forecasting model. Experiments show that this approach outperforms existing methods in terms of robustness.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
Time series forecasting is important for many real-world applications, but current techniques assume clean data without anomalies. However, in practice, data can be contaminated with different types of anomalies. To address this issue, researchers statistically define three types of anomalies and analyze how they affect the loss and sample robustness of forecasting models. They propose a simple algorithm to learn a robust model that outperforms existing approaches.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Time series