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Summary of Deep Ensemble Shape Calibration: Multi-field Post-hoc Calibration in Online Advertising, by Shuai Yang et al.


Deep Ensemble Shape Calibration: Multi-Field Post-hoc Calibration in Online Advertising

by Shuai Yang, Hao Yang, Zhuang Zou, Linhe Xu, Shuo Yuan, Yifan Zeng

First submitted to arxiv on: 17 Jan 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
Machine learning models are crucial in e-commerce advertising, particularly when estimating the true probabilities of Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR). The calibration problem has been addressed through various methods that train calibrators using a validation set and apply them to correct original estimates during online inference. This paper explores novel solutions for improving calibrated estimates, which are essential for informed decision-making in e-commerce advertising.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
In the world of online shopping, it’s important to accurately predict how likely people are to click on ads or make a purchase. To do this, we need to “calibrate” our predictions so they’re more accurate. This is a big problem because we can’t always test our predictions before they’re used in real-life situations. The best way to solve this problem is still unknown, but researchers have come up with some ideas that might work.

Keywords

* Artificial intelligence  * Inference  * Machine learning