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Summary of Modelling Sampling Distributions Of Test Statistics with Autograd, by Ali Al Kadhim and Harrison B. Prosper


Modelling Sampling Distributions of Test Statistics with Autograd

by Ali Al Kadhim, Harrison B. Prosper

First submitted to arxiv on: 3 May 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (stat.ML)
  • Secondary: Machine Learning (cs.LG); High Energy Physics – Experiment (hep-ex); Computation (stat.CO)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper explores an approach to modeling conditional 1-dimensional sampling distributions using simulation-based inference methods. The method involves accurate modeling of the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of a test statistic, typically done using deep neural networks whose derivative with respect to the test statistic approximates the sampling distribution. This is compared to the probability density-ratio method, also known as the likelihood-ratio trick. Various neural network models are used and their predictive uncertainty is quantified through different methods.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This paper looks at a new way to understand how things work when we use test statistics from observations that have been squished down to a single number. They’re trying to figure out if this approach is better than another method called the likelihood-ratio trick. To do this, they’re using special kinds of neural networks that can help us understand how these test statistics are distributed. The goal is to see if this new way of thinking can be used in practice.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Inference  » Likelihood  » Neural network  » Probability