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Summary of Causal Knowledge Engineering: a Case Study From Covid-19, by Steven Mascaro et al.


Causal knowledge engineering: A case study from COVID-19

by Steven Mascaro, Yue Wu, Ross Pearson, Owen Woodberry, Jessica Ramsay, Tom Snelling, Ann E. Nicholson

First submitted to arxiv on: 21 Mar 2024

Categories

  • Main: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
  • Secondary: None

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed research develops a novel method called Causal Knowledge Engineering (CKE) to create a causal knowledge base for various aspects of COVID-19. This approach addresses the challenges of early modeling in the pandemic era, where limited data and uncertain assumptions were common. The CKE method provides a structured framework for building a causal knowledge base that can support the development of application-specific models.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
COVID-19 appeared suddenly in 2020, requiring quick action despite uncertainty. There was initially little good quality data or knowledge, so many early models had to be built using assumptions and estimates, often without reliable ways to identify, verify, and document these assumptions. Researchers worked on building a causal knowledge base with several Bayesian networks (BNs) for different COVID-19 aspects. The challenges led to trying out the elicitation approach, which resulted in the CKE method. This provides a step-by-step way to build a causal knowledge base that can help create many models.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Knowledge base