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Summary of Enhancing Project Performance Forecasting Using Machine Learning Techniques, by Soheila Sadeghi


Enhancing Project Performance Forecasting using Machine Learning Techniques

by Soheila Sadeghi

First submitted to arxiv on: 26 Nov 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computers and Society (cs.CY); Applications (stat.AP)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed machine learning-based approach utilizes time series forecasting techniques, including ARIMA and LSTM networks, to predict project performance metrics such as cost variance and earned value. The model incorporates historical data and project progress, as well as external factors like weather patterns and resource availability, to enhance forecast accuracy. This enables proactive identification of potential deviations from the baseline plan, allowing for timely corrective actions by project managers. The research aims to validate the effectiveness of this approach using a case study of an urban road reconstruction project, comparing forecasts with actual project performance data.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper proposes a machine learning model to predict project performance metrics in urban road reconstruction projects. It uses historical data and project progress, along with external factors like weather and resources, to make predictions. This helps project managers catch any problems early and fix them before they get worse. The researchers tested their approach on an actual construction project to see how well it worked.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Lstm  » Machine learning  » Time series