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Summary of Unlocking the Power Of Patch: Patch-based Mlp For Long-term Time Series Forecasting, by Peiwang Tang and Weitai Zhang


Unlocking the Power of Patch: Patch-Based MLP for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

by Peiwang Tang, Weitai Zhang

First submitted to arxiv on: 22 May 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper challenges the effectiveness of Transformer architectures in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks, arguing that the Patch mechanism is overemphasized. Instead, simple linear layers with Patch enhancements may outperform complex Transformers. The study highlights the importance of cross-variable interactions and proposes a novel Patch-based MLP (PatchMLP) for LTSF tasks. By extracting smooth components and noise-containing residuals from time series data, engaging in semantic information interchange through channel mixing, and specializing in random noise, the PatchMLP model achieves state-of-the-art results on several real-world datasets.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This paper questions whether Transformers are the best solution for predicting future values in long-term time series. Researchers think that the Transformer’s ability to process sequential data is not fully utilized due to its self-attention mechanism. They suggest that simple models with a Patch mechanism might perform better than complex Transformers. The study also emphasizes the importance of considering relationships between different variables when making predictions. It proposes a new way to do this, called PatchMLP, which works well on real-world datasets.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Self attention  » Time series  » Transformer