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Summary of Mathematics Of Statistical Sequential Decision-making: Concentration, Risk-awareness and Modelling in Stochastic Bandits, with Applications to Bariatric Surgery, by Patrick Saux


Mathematics of statistical sequential decision-making: concentration, risk-awareness and modelling in stochastic bandits, with applications to bariatric surgery

by Patrick Saux

First submitted to arxiv on: 3 May 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (stat.ML)
  • Secondary: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This thesis explores the mathematical challenges in analyzing statistical sequential decision-making algorithms for postoperative patient follow-up. It focuses on stochastic bandits, which model an agent’s learning process in an uncertain environment to maximize rewards. The study aims to develop new algorithms that balance exploitation and exploration, unlike existing industrial applications with large datasets, low-risk decisions, and clear modeling assumptions. Instead, digital health recommendations require small samples, risk-averse agents, and complex, nonparametric modeling. The researchers developed safe, anytime-valid concentration bounds, introduced a framework for risk-aware contextual bandits, and analyzed novel nonparametric bandit algorithms under weak assumptions. Empirical evidence supports the theoretical guarantees. Additionally, an interpretable machine learning model was developed with medical doctors to predict long-term weight trajectories of patients after bariatric surgery.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
This study looks at how computers can learn from experience in a uncertain environment. It’s about finding the best way to make decisions when there are many options and not all of them work well. The researchers created new ways for computers to balance trying what works now with trying something new that might be better later. They did this by making sure their computer programs were safe, could be used anytime, and worked well even with small amounts of data. They also made a special program that can predict how heavy patients will be after surgery. This is important because it helps doctors make good decisions for their patients.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Machine learning