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Summary of The Base-rate Effect on Llm Benchmark Performance: Disambiguating Test-taking Strategies From Benchmark Performance, by Kyle Moore et al.


The Base-Rate Effect on LLM Benchmark Performance: Disambiguating Test-Taking Strategies from Benchmark Performance

by Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Thao Pham, Oseremhen Ewaleifoh, Doug Fisher

First submitted to arxiv on: 17 Jun 2024

Categories

  • Main: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
The proposed study explores the behavior of large language models on benchmark tasks using cloze testing, a common method for evaluating their performance. The researchers utilize the MMLU dataset to demonstrate that the base-rate probability (BRP) differences across answer tokens significantly impact task performance, suggesting that models are more likely to guess an answer if uncertain. They find that counterfactual prompting can effectively mitigate this BRP effect. Furthermore, they show that the BRP effect has a similar influence as test-taking strategies employed by humans, leading to the conflation of task performance and test-taking ability. To disentangle these two concepts, the researchers propose the Nvr-X-MMLU task, a variation of MMLU that reports task performance separately from test-taking ability.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The paper studies how large language models behave on different tasks using a method called cloze testing. The researchers used a specific dataset to show that the way they choose answers can affect their performance. They found that if the model is unsure, it will guess an answer more often. However, by changing the way the questions are asked, this problem can be fixed. The study also shows that humans and models have similar strategies when taking tests, which can make it hard to tell what’s actually being tested – task performance or test-taking ability. To solve this problem, the researchers created a new task that separates these two things.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Probability  » Prompting