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Summary of Deconfounding Time Series Forecasting, by Wentao Gao et al.


Deconfounding Time Series Forecasting

by Wentao Gao, Feiyu Yang, Mengze Hong, Xiaojing Du, Zechen Hu, Xiongren Chen, Ziqi Xu

First submitted to arxiv on: 27 Oct 2024

Categories

  • Main: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
  • Secondary: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

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GrooveSquid.com Paper Summaries

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Summary difficulty Written by Summary
High Paper authors High Difficulty Summary
Read the original abstract here
Medium GrooveSquid.com (original content) Medium Difficulty Summary
This paper proposes an enhanced forecasting approach for time series forecasting, addressing the issue of latent confounders in predictive models. The method incorporates representations of unobserved variables derived from historical data to improve the accuracy and robustness of forecasts. This is demonstrated through its application to climate science data, showing significant improvements over traditional methods.
Low GrooveSquid.com (original content) Low Difficulty Summary
The study aims to address the challenge of predicting future outcomes while considering the influence of latent confounders that affect both predictors and target outcomes. The proposed approach is designed to improve time series forecasting by integrating representations of these confounders into the predictive process. The results show that this method can lead to more accurate and robust predictions.

Keywords

» Artificial intelligence  » Time series